For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.Yesterday, Black Thursday was circumvented by the favorable intraday trading and mysterious fund blessing. Unfortunately, the favorable market released by the after-hours heavy meeting not only did not have a high premium today, but triggered the smashing behavior of low opening and low walking. What's the solution? In fact, the policy expectations have long been full, but no actual actions have been seen. It is not surprising that the market chose to die. At least the gold content of the small high point suggested by Lao Liu on Tuesday continues to rise.
First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.
A-shares: the gold content of small highs is improving. Will the stock market get worse next week?First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.By the way, there will be an interest rate resolution of America next week. Even if there is no favorable interest rate reduction or interest rate reduction this week, it is estimated that it should be issued next week. In addition, the fund ranking war will start at the end of the year, and the second-class stocks should be the main tone! I wish you all a happy weekend. Don't be affected by today's plunge. We will fight again next week!
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide